by JOHN ZOGBY for FORBES on NOVEMBER 7, 2012:
President Barack Obama has won and the exit polls show why. First and foremost, the share of the electorate that is white dropped from 74% in 2008 to 72%. African Americans accounted for 13% of the total, Hispanics 10%, and Asian Americans and others 5%. The white percentage of the vote will only continue to decline with each new election.
The electorate was more favorable to Mr. Obama in a number of ways. Those who voted today gave him a 48% job approval rating, on the higher side than usual. Those who said the country was headed on the right track were 46%, 10 points higher than any pre-election poll. More voters said they were better of than they were a year ago (39%) than said they were worse off (31%). While the economy was indeed cited as the top issue for voters, 52% felt that Mitt Romney’s policies would favor the wealthy, while a plurality of 43% said that Obama’s policies would be of greater benefit to the middle class.
John Zogby is an internationally respected American political pollster, opinion leader and author. Former president and CEO of Zogby International, he remains one of the most respected pollsters in the US today. He is currently a Senior Analyst with JZ Analytics.
Zogby Lecture, November 14, 2012, 5 p.m., rm. 4, Sanford building, Duke University
On November 14, Zogby will lecture at Duke University’s Sanford School of Public Policy on “Did Minorities Matter? Their Impact on the 2012 Elections.” The lecture, which will include analysis of the Muslim vote as well as other small-scale constituencies, is part of the Duke Islamic Studies Center lecture series “Citizenship, Democracy, Elections.”
Sponsors also include the Duke University Middle East Studies Center (DUMESC), American Grand Strategy (AGS), Center for Muslim Life, Duke Center for Civic Engagement (DCCE), DukeEngage, DeWitt Wallace Center for Media and Democracy, Kenan Institute for Ethics, Sociology, Triangle Institute for Security Studies (TISS) and Duke Human Rights Center @FHI (DHRC).